Friday, 16 March 2012

European Coefficients: Who's Letting Whose Side Down?

Last night marked the worst English performance in European club football since 2003. Following the best part of a decade of Champions League and Europa League (UEFA Cup to the seasoned supporter and I) success, the drying pool of English European talent is becoming abundantly clear.

The current UEFA Country Coefficient reads as such:

#
country
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
ranking
teams
1
England
17.875
15.000
17.928
18.357
14.000
83.160
1/ 8
2
Spain
13.875
13.312
17.928
18.214
16.000
79.329
5/ 7
3
Germany
13.500
12.687
18.083
15.666
13.583
73.519
3/ 6
4
Italy
10.250
11.375
15.428
11.571
11.214
59.838
1/ 7
5
Portugal
7.928
6.785
10.000
18.800
10.833
54.346
2/ 6
6
France
6.928
11.000
15.000
10.750
10.500
54.178
1/ 6
7
Russia
11.250
9.750
6.166
10.916
9.750
47.832
6
8
Netherlands
5.000
6.333
9.416
11.166
13.200
45.115
1/ 5
9
Ukraine
4.875
16.625
5.800
10.083
7.583
44.966
1/ 6
10
Greece
7.500
6.500
7.900
7.600
7.600
37.100
5


Fulham provided England with an extra team following a fair play league bonus entry this year but from now on, the focus falls on the future of coefficient; and whether England will fall back down the rankings. Spain effectively need their 5 remaining representatives to win both ties of their quarter finals and then two of their teams go on to win the Champions League and the Europa League between them, to overhaul England this year. A repeat of this season's performances - minus Fulham's results as they were a bonus side this year - would leave England's yearly coefficient at 11.875 (plus Chelsea's results in this year's Quarter Finals). With a total of 77.16 and Spain clearly on top, Germany would more than likely surpass the English and England's focus would be on retaining their 7th representative from the sides below.

In terms of calculating England's Coefficient, the teams' performance's impact as so:

        Clubs                              qW      qD      qL          W      D       L        BonusPtsAverage
ArsenalArsenal2004229.000
ChelseaChelsea00042210.000
Man. CityMan. City0006134.000
Man. UnitedMan. United0003344.000
StokeStoke4003230.000
TottenhamTottenham1103120.000
BirminghamBirmingham1103120.000
FulhamFulham5212220.000
1 EnglandEngland134128142027.000112.00014.000

Chelsea and Arsenal's European results have been the most impressive this year. The irony is that only one of them is likely to take next year's 4th Champions League place following sub-standard Premier League form this term.

When both Manchester clubs were pre-season favourites to progress in the elite tournament, their failure and subsequent elimination in the sister cup resulted in the significant knock to England's coefficient. Some cite a lack of interest from the best sides in an 'inferior' cup whilst the need to win the Premier League and qualify for next year's Champions League takes priority. This mentality will only damage the future of English football. If our representatives throw their games to maintain their elite status the gulf between the perennial European sides and the aspirational pretenders will only widen and a reduction in the designation of English spots will all but remove hope for the likes of Everton, Newcastle, Stoke and others.

The presence, or lack of, of Manchester United and City in the Europa League is a blight on the Premier League, when the whole midtable would give anything to represent their country on that stage. I'm not suggesting that Sunderland would be able to stop the beautiful play that Bilbao produced in two legs against United, but the stadium would be sold out, the team would play with the passion of a cup final and the country would be well represented. Take Stoke City's play compared to Tottenham's in their Europa League groups. Stoke progressed from a tougher group while Spurs played their reserves and lost, the rewards for next season - Spurs will play Champions League and barring a FA Cup triumph Stoke have nothing.

Is a change in the way England is represented at Continental level needed? Or will forward financial planning and Europa League snobbery shrink our coefficient and segregate the elite from those actually want to be there?

Or are we just not as good as we think we are...



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